When planning your vacation (and for the peace of mind!), it’s important to understand how the weather forecast relates to actual conditions on our islands.
As a small archipelago that’s exposed to the open Atlantic, the Turks and Caicos often experiences rapid changes in the weather. It may be disappointing to see a forecast for rain during your stay, but the truth is that showers are often brief and localized. In the case of the island of Providenciales, the typical projection for rain often coincides with a very short duration drizzle at either the eastern Leeward area, or at the remote wetlands at the west coast.
Some weather forecast websites display a percentage for precipitation or rainfall. This is based off the chance of any rainfall for the given period of time. More often than not, low percentage numbers are experienced as barely noticeable rainfall. Likewise, an icon of rainy clouds is based off the same metric.
Our different islands see a slight variance in rainfall patterns. North Caicos, Middle Caicos, Parrot Cay and Pine Cay collect the most rain. Providenciales, South Caicos and East Caicos follow next, and due to their isolated location upwind on the far eastern side of the Turks and Caicos subterranean plateau, Grand Turk and Salt Cay see the least.
Occasionally, (we’d estimate once every month or two), the country does experience a heavy rainfall that may last for a few hours, however, the majority of the annual rainfall is brought by one or two passing tropical cyclones during the summer Atlantic hurricane season.
Unless the forecast shows heavy rainfall throughout the entire day, our advice is to not worry and enjoy your vacation. As our stunted and low-height vegetation can attest to, the Turks and Caicos receives some of the lowest rainfalls of any Caribbean nation.
Generally, the water temperature at the beach will be higher than what predictions show due to localized heating by the sun.
Our different coasts are affected to varying degrees. Areas that see limited water movement, such as Taylor Bay Beach and Sapodilla Bay Beach, will typically be much warmer than coasts that are either exposed to deep water or have natural tidal movement, such as Grace Bay and Malcolm's Road Beach.